# SplineFitter¶

class lifelines.fitters.spline_fitter.SplineFitter(knot_locations: numpy.array, *args, **kwargs)

Bases: lifelines.fitters.KnownModelParametricUnivariateFitter, lifelines.fitters.mixins.SplineFitterMixin

Model the cumulative hazard using $$N$$ cubic splines. This offers great flexibility and smoothness of the cumulative hazard.

$H(t) = \exp{\left( \phi_0 + \phi_1\log{t} + \sum_{j=2}^N \phi_j v_j(\log{t})\right)}$

where $$v_j$$ are our cubic basis functions at predetermined knots. See references for exact definition.

Parameters: knot_locations (list, np.array) – The locations of the cubic breakpoints. Must be length two or more. Typically, the first knot is the minimum observed death, the last knot is the maximum observed death, and the knots in between are the centiles of observed data (ex: if one additional knot, choose the 50th percentile, the median. If two additional knots, choose the 33rd and 66th percentiles).

References

Royston, P., & Parmar, M. K. B. (2002). Flexible parametric proportional-hazards and proportional-odds models for censored survival data, with application to prognostic modelling and estimation of treatment effects. Statistics in Medicine, 21(15), 2175–2197. doi:10.1002/sim.1203

Examples

from lifelines import SplineFitter

T, E = waltons['T'], waltons['E']
knots = np.percentile(T.loc[E.astype(bool)], [0, 50, 100])

sf = SplineFitter(knots)
sf.fit(T, E)
sf.plot()
print(sf.knots)

cumulative_hazard_

The estimated cumulative hazard (with custom timeline if provided)

Type: DataFrame
hazard_

The estimated hazard (with custom timeline if provided)

Type: DataFrame
survival_function_

The estimated survival function (with custom timeline if provided)

Type: DataFrame
cumulative_density_

The estimated cumulative density function (with custom timeline if provided)

Type: DataFrame
density_

The estimated density function (PDF) (with custom timeline if provided)

Type: DataFrame
variance_matrix_

The variance matrix of the coefficients

Type: DataFrame
median_survival_time_

The median time to event

Type: float
lambda_

The fitted parameter in the model

Type: float
rho_

The fitted parameter in the model

Type: float
durations

The durations provided

Type: array
event_observed

The event_observed variable provided

Type: array
timeline

The time line to use for plotting and indexing

Type: array
entry

The entry array provided, or None

Type: array or None
knot_locations

The locations of the breakpoints.

Type: array
n_knots

Count of breakpoints

Type: int
AIC_
basis(x: numpy.array, knot: float, min_knot: float, max_knot: float)
conditional_time_to_event_

Return a DataFrame, with index equal to survival_function_, that estimates the median duration remaining until the death event, given survival up until time t. For example, if an individual exists until age 1, their expected life remaining given they lived to time 1 might be 9 years.

confidence_interval_

The confidence interval of the cumulative hazard. This is an alias for confidence_interval_cumulative_hazard_.

confidence_interval_cumulative_density_

The lower and upper confidence intervals for the cumulative density

confidence_interval_cumulative_hazard_

The confidence interval of the cumulative hazard. This is an alias for confidence_interval_.

confidence_interval_density_

The confidence interval of the hazard.

confidence_interval_hazard_

The confidence interval of the hazard.

confidence_interval_survival_function_

The lower and upper confidence intervals for the survival function

cumulative_density_at_times(times, label=None) → pandas.core.series.Series

Return a Pandas series of the predicted cumulative density function (1-survival function) at specific times.

Parameters: times (iterable or float) – values to return the survival function at. label (string, optional) – Rename the series returned. Useful for plotting.
cumulative_hazard_at_times(times, label=None) → pandas.core.series.Series

Return a Pandas series of the predicted cumulative hazard value at specific times.

Parameters: times (iterable or float) – values to return the cumulative hazard at. label (string, optional) – Rename the series returned. Useful for plotting.
density_at_times(times, label=None) → pandas.core.series.Series

Return a Pandas series of the predicted probability density function, dCDF/dt, at specific times.

Parameters: times (iterable or float) – values to return the survival function at. label (string, optional) – Rename the series returned. Useful for plotting.
divide(other) → pandas.core.frame.DataFrame

Divide self’s survival function from another model’s survival function.

Parameters: other (same object as self)
event_table
fit(durations, event_observed=None, timeline=None, label=None, alpha=None, ci_labels=None, show_progress=False, entry=None, weights=None, initial_point=None) → self
Parameters: durations (an array, or pd.Series) – length n, duration subject was observed for event_observed (numpy array or pd.Series, optional) – length n, True if the the death was observed, False if the event was lost (right-censored). Defaults all True if event_observed==None timeline (list, optional) – return the estimate at the values in timeline (positively increasing) label (string, optional) – a string to name the column of the estimate. alpha (float, optional) – the alpha value in the confidence intervals. Overrides the initializing alpha for this call to fit only. ci_labels (list, optional) – add custom column names to the generated confidence intervals as a length-2 list: [, ]. Default:
fit_interval_censoring(lower_bound, upper_bound, event_observed=None, timeline=None, label=None, alpha=None, ci_labels=None, show_progress=False, entry=None, weights=None, initial_point=None) → self

Fit the model to an interval censored dataset.

Parameters: lower_bound (an array, or pd.Series) – length n, the start of the period the subject experienced the event in. upper_bound (an array, or pd.Series) – length n, the end of the period the subject experienced the event in. If the value is equal to the corresponding value in lower_bound, then the individual’s event was observed (not censored). event_observed (numpy array or pd.Series, optional) – length n, if left optional, infer from lower_bound and upper_cound (if lower_bound==upper_bound then event observed, if lower_bound < upper_bound, then event censored) timeline (list, optional) – return the estimate at the values in timeline (positively increasing) label (string, optional) – a string to name the column of the estimate. alpha (float, optional) – the alpha value in the confidence intervals. Overrides the initializing alpha for this call to fit only. ci_labels (list, optional) – add custom column names to the generated confidence intervals as a length-2 list: [, ]. Default:
fit_left_censoring(durations, event_observed=None, timeline=None, label=None, alpha=None, ci_labels=None, show_progress=False, entry=None, weights=None, initial_point=None) → self

Fit the model to a left-censored dataset

Parameters: durations (an array, or pd.Series) – length n, duration subject was observed for event_observed (numpy array or pd.Series, optional) – length n, True if the the death was observed, False if the event was lost (right-censored). Defaults all True if event_observed==None timeline (list, optional) – return the estimate at the values in timeline (positively increasing) label (string, optional) – a string to name the column of the estimate. alpha (float, optional) – the alpha value in the confidence intervals. Overrides the initializing alpha for this call to fit only. ci_labels (list, optional) – add custom column names to the generated confidence intervals as a length-2 list: [, ]. Default:
fit_right_censoring(*args, **kwargs)

Alias for fit

hazard_at_times(times, label=None) → pandas.core.series.Series

Return a Pandas series of the predicted hazard at specific times.

Parameters: times (iterable or float) – values to return the hazard at. label (string, optional) – Rename the series returned. Useful for plotting.
median_survival_time_

Return the unique time point, t, such that S(t) = 0.5. This is the “half-life” of the population, and a robust summary statistic for the population, if it exists.

params_
percentile(p: float) → float

Return the unique time point, t, such that S(t) = p.

Parameters: p (float)
plot(**kwargs)

Produce a pretty-plot of the estimate.

plot_cumulative_density(**kwargs)
plot_cumulative_hazard(**kwargs)
plot_density(**kwargs)
plot_hazard(**kwargs)
plot_survival_function(**kwargs)
predict(times: Union[Iterable[float], float], interpolate=False) → pandas.core.series.Series

Predict the fitter at certain point in time. Uses a linear interpolation if points in time are not in the index.

Parameters: times (scalar, or array) – a scalar or an array of times to predict the value of {0} at. interpolate (bool, optional (default=False)) – for methods that produce a stepwise solution (Kaplan-Meier, Nelson-Aalen, etc), turning this to True will use an linear interpolation method to provide a more “smooth” answer.
print_summary(decimals=2, style=None, columns=None, **kwargs)

Print summary statistics describing the fit, the coefficients, and the error bounds.

Parameters: decimals (int, optional (default=2)) – specify the number of decimal places to show style (string) – {html, ascii, latex} columns – only display a subset of summary columns. Default all. kwargs – print additional metadata in the output (useful to provide model names, dataset names, etc.) when comparing multiple outputs.
static relu(x: numpy.array)
subtract(other) → pandas.core.frame.DataFrame

Subtract self’s survival function from another model’s survival function.

Parameters: other (same object as self)
summary

Summary statistics describing the fit.

survival_function_at_times(times, label=None) → pandas.core.series.Series

Return a Pandas series of the predicted survival value at specific times.

Parameters: times (iterable or float) – values to return the survival function at. label (string, optional) – Rename the series returned. Useful for plotting.